Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Week 16 NFL picks

What makes the NFL so compelling is that literally one week's games can change everything. One play, one injury. No other pro sport's regular season is like that. Like how, after 13 weeks of ruling the roost, suddenly neither Tennessee nor the New York Giants might get the top seed in their respective conferences. Tennnessee fails on a fourth down try to lose at Houston in a game where Albert Haynesworth goes down, and lo! The top seed is Pittsburgh's to lose. Plaxico Burress shoots himself in the leg, the Giants lose at Philly, and suddenly New York could lose home field and maybe even a first round bye entirely if they fall to Carolina. Meanwhile, Philly looks like it's got the inside track on a playoff spot. Two weeks ago Andy Reid was about to be traded and Donovan McNabb was on the bench. No, wait, Andy Reid was going to be fired and McNabb was going to be traded... AND was on the bench. Go figure.

I say this to apologize for my crappy picks last week, where I went a pedestrian 8-8 after a string of double-digit win totals that stretched over two months. Stick with me, kids. I'm 65% for the year and hopefully it'll stay that way. Next year, when I start picking against the spread, I make no guarantees.

My week 16 guesses:

colts over JAGUARS
COWBOYS over ravens
BROWNS over bengals
49ers over RAMS
saints over LIONS
steelers over TITANS
dolphins over CHIEFS
PATRIOTS over cardinals
BUCANEERS over chargers
texans over RAIDERS
BRONCOS over bills
SEAHAWKS over jets
falcons over VIKINGS
eagles over REDSKINS
GIANTS over panthers
BEARS over packers

Last week: 8-8
Season: 147-77 65.6%

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